Monday, May 10, 2010

position in GROUP E

Here are the permutations for the group E for the semi final spot,

ENGLAND (2 wins, nrr +1.12760)
They are, quite obviously, the safest one to make it to the semi's. For them to be knocked out, New Zealand will have to beat them by 30 or more runs, and South Africa will have to beat Pakistan by 43 or more runs. Then New Zealand and South Africa will both have higher net run rates than England.

New Zealand ( 1 win, nrr-0.3)
equation is simple for newzeland, they win and go to semi, if they lose, then go home.What happens in the other match doesn't much matter to them. If South Africa win the first match, they will go to four points, and New Zealand will have to win to come level on points, and then their better net run-rate should carry them through. If Pakistan win, New Zealand know they can't afford to lose because that loss will leave them level with Pakistan at two points, but Pakistan will have a better net run-rate.

Pakistan ( 0 wins, nrr -0.215)

They need to beat South Africa, and then hope that England beat New Zealand later in the day. they have the best run rate among the three. if they lose to south africa, then the team will be packing back. if they best southafrica and newzeland beat englandm they are still out, so therefore, pakistan would be hoping that they beat southafrica and england beat newzealand and they will be through with better run rate.

South Africa (1 win, -0.650)

They can't sneak in based on net run-rate, because they are the worst among the three right now. They will need to beat Pakistan and then hope that England beat New Zealand. If New Zealand win, South Africa will most likely be out, unless they beat Pakistan by a mammoth margin, and New Zealand win very narrowly.

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