well after losing 3 quick wickets,pakistan still managed to score 148. that was a good effort. akmal brothers played really well especially the younger one, umer. he was the man who took the charge and left smith wondering about how to use his spin option.
razzak and misbah again failed today,but afiridi played well for his 30.
it will be interesting to see how south africa go about their chase considering pakistan has 4 spinning option and 1 quicky and 1 medium pacer.
cricket is a funny game, only one score of above 145 has been chased in this tournament, and it was against pakistan which england chased. cant wait for the match to start......
Monday, May 10, 2010
LONG BOUNDARIES IN ST.LUCIA will play its part
well pakistan is batting first after winning the toss and i think they are going with wrong 11, they are one bowler short and with razzak coming at 8, they basically have strengthen their batting by bringing in extra batsman.
dont think, south africa will mind chasing here at st.lucia becuase its a big ground with long boundaries ( approx 80meters). southafricans know that it is important to get 2's n 3's rather then going for big hits. whereas on the other hand, i think they have done the right thing by bringing an extra spinner van der merve instead of mornbe morkel because he has been struggling in this competition.
both the teams know that there is no other option to win, so both teams will be going for a kill.
i personally feel southafrica have the edge because one bowler short, pakistan will already be 15 runs short so it is important for pakistan to score above 160 to give its bowlers a chance.
match is about to start, so lets hope for a cracker !
dont think, south africa will mind chasing here at st.lucia becuase its a big ground with long boundaries ( approx 80meters). southafricans know that it is important to get 2's n 3's rather then going for big hits. whereas on the other hand, i think they have done the right thing by bringing an extra spinner van der merve instead of mornbe morkel because he has been struggling in this competition.
both the teams know that there is no other option to win, so both teams will be going for a kill.
i personally feel southafrica have the edge because one bowler short, pakistan will already be 15 runs short so it is important for pakistan to score above 160 to give its bowlers a chance.
match is about to start, so lets hope for a cracker !
positon in group F for semi final
Here are the permutations for the teams to qualify for semi-final in group F
Australia (points 4, net run-rate +3.250)
they are almost through to the semifnal with their two convincing wins,their net run rate is an incredible +3.25; the difference between their runs scored and conceded is 130. if West Indies beat Australia by 87 runs, and Sri Lanka beat India by a 68-run margin. Then both West Indies and Sri Lanka will have a higher NRR than Australia. It's a possibility, but only in theory
Sri Lanka (points 2, net run-rate -0.600)
They are currently in second place, thanks to a run rate that is better then West Indies. they need to beat India, and hope Australia beat West Indies, in which case Australia and Sri Lanka will qualify for the semi-finals on points. Sri Lanka will also be through if they lose to India by less than 20 runs and Australrefia beat West Indies.
However, even a win against India will not assure them a spot in the last four, if West Indies beat Australia. Currently, Sri Lanka have conceded 24 more runs than they have scored, while for West Indies the corresponding number is 43. If both teams win their final games and West Indies win by a margin that offsets that difference, then they will go through. Thus, if Sri Lanka beat India by a run, and West Indies beat Australia by 21 runs, then the home team will progress to the semis.
ref:cricinfo
West Indies (points 2, net run-rate -1.075)
The win against India has kept them in contention, but the huge defeat against Sri Lanka means their NRR is still languishing at -1.075. They'll qualify without the run rate coming into play if they beat Australia and if Sri Lanka lose to India. However, if they beat Australia and Sri Lanka beat India, then NRR will come into play. West Indies currently have a handicap of 19 runs compared to Sri Lanka (refer to the paragraph above), and they'll have to win by a margin that offsets that handicap. A defeat against Australia will put them out of the tournament, regardless of the result in the other match.
India (points 0, net run-rate -1.575)
For India to make the cut, they'll have to beat Sri Lanka by a margin of at least 20 runs, and then hope West Indies lose to Australia. Currently India have conceded 63 more runs than they have scored, compared to Sri Lanka's 24. If they win by 20 runs, their difference will reduce to 43 while Sri Lanka's will increase to 44, which will do the trick for India. If India bat second, and assuming Sri Lanka have scored 160, they'll need to chase it down in a maximum of 17.4 overs to lift their NRR above Sri Lanka's.
Australia (points 4, net run-rate +3.250)
they are almost through to the semifnal with their two convincing wins,their net run rate is an incredible +3.25; the difference between their runs scored and conceded is 130. if West Indies beat Australia by 87 runs, and Sri Lanka beat India by a 68-run margin. Then both West Indies and Sri Lanka will have a higher NRR than Australia. It's a possibility, but only in theory
Sri Lanka (points 2, net run-rate -0.600)
They are currently in second place, thanks to a run rate that is better then West Indies. they need to beat India, and hope Australia beat West Indies, in which case Australia and Sri Lanka will qualify for the semi-finals on points. Sri Lanka will also be through if they lose to India by less than 20 runs and Australrefia beat West Indies.
However, even a win against India will not assure them a spot in the last four, if West Indies beat Australia. Currently, Sri Lanka have conceded 24 more runs than they have scored, while for West Indies the corresponding number is 43. If both teams win their final games and West Indies win by a margin that offsets that difference, then they will go through. Thus, if Sri Lanka beat India by a run, and West Indies beat Australia by 21 runs, then the home team will progress to the semis.
ref:cricinfo
West Indies (points 2, net run-rate -1.075)
The win against India has kept them in contention, but the huge defeat against Sri Lanka means their NRR is still languishing at -1.075. They'll qualify without the run rate coming into play if they beat Australia and if Sri Lanka lose to India. However, if they beat Australia and Sri Lanka beat India, then NRR will come into play. West Indies currently have a handicap of 19 runs compared to Sri Lanka (refer to the paragraph above), and they'll have to win by a margin that offsets that handicap. A defeat against Australia will put them out of the tournament, regardless of the result in the other match.
India (points 0, net run-rate -1.575)
For India to make the cut, they'll have to beat Sri Lanka by a margin of at least 20 runs, and then hope West Indies lose to Australia. Currently India have conceded 63 more runs than they have scored, compared to Sri Lanka's 24. If they win by 20 runs, their difference will reduce to 43 while Sri Lanka's will increase to 44, which will do the trick for India. If India bat second, and assuming Sri Lanka have scored 160, they'll need to chase it down in a maximum of 17.4 overs to lift their NRR above Sri Lanka's.
position in GROUP E
Here are the permutations for the group E for the semi final spot,
ENGLAND (2 wins, nrr +1.12760)
They are, quite obviously, the safest one to make it to the semi's. For them to be knocked out, New Zealand will have to beat them by 30 or more runs, and South Africa will have to beat Pakistan by 43 or more runs. Then New Zealand and South Africa will both have higher net run rates than England.
New Zealand ( 1 win, nrr-0.3)
equation is simple for newzeland, they win and go to semi, if they lose, then go home.What happens in the other match doesn't much matter to them. If South Africa win the first match, they will go to four points, and New Zealand will have to win to come level on points, and then their better net run-rate should carry them through. If Pakistan win, New Zealand know they can't afford to lose because that loss will leave them level with Pakistan at two points, but Pakistan will have a better net run-rate.
Pakistan ( 0 wins, nrr -0.215)
They need to beat South Africa, and then hope that England beat New Zealand later in the day. they have the best run rate among the three. if they lose to south africa, then the team will be packing back. if they best southafrica and newzeland beat englandm they are still out, so therefore, pakistan would be hoping that they beat southafrica and england beat newzealand and they will be through with better run rate.
South Africa (1 win, -0.650)
They can't sneak in based on net run-rate, because they are the worst among the three right now. They will need to beat Pakistan and then hope that England beat New Zealand. If New Zealand win, South Africa will most likely be out, unless they beat Pakistan by a mammoth margin, and New Zealand win very narrowly.
ENGLAND (2 wins, nrr +1.12760)
They are, quite obviously, the safest one to make it to the semi's. For them to be knocked out, New Zealand will have to beat them by 30 or more runs, and South Africa will have to beat Pakistan by 43 or more runs. Then New Zealand and South Africa will both have higher net run rates than England.
New Zealand ( 1 win, nrr-0.3)
equation is simple for newzeland, they win and go to semi, if they lose, then go home.What happens in the other match doesn't much matter to them. If South Africa win the first match, they will go to four points, and New Zealand will have to win to come level on points, and then their better net run-rate should carry them through. If Pakistan win, New Zealand know they can't afford to lose because that loss will leave them level with Pakistan at two points, but Pakistan will have a better net run-rate.
Pakistan ( 0 wins, nrr -0.215)
They need to beat South Africa, and then hope that England beat New Zealand later in the day. they have the best run rate among the three. if they lose to south africa, then the team will be packing back. if they best southafrica and newzeland beat englandm they are still out, so therefore, pakistan would be hoping that they beat southafrica and england beat newzealand and they will be through with better run rate.
South Africa (1 win, -0.650)
They can't sneak in based on net run-rate, because they are the worst among the three right now. They will need to beat Pakistan and then hope that England beat New Zealand. If New Zealand win, South Africa will most likely be out, unless they beat Pakistan by a mammoth margin, and New Zealand win very narrowly.
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